Have you looked at the North Pole lately?

[1G12]

Global warming is making hurricanes stronger, study says

Global warming is making hurricanes stronger, study says

Human-caused global warming has strengthened the wind speeds of hurricanes, typhoons and cyclones around the globe, a new study released Monday said.

These storms, collectively known as tropical cyclones, are some of nature's most powerful and destructive storms. Category 5 Hurricane Dorian, for example, laid waste to portions of the Bahamas last year as the storm's 185-mph winds cut through the nation like a buzzsaw.

Scientists studied 40 years of satellite images to reach their conclusions.

"Our results show that these storms have become stronger on global and regional levels, which is consistent with expectations of how hurricanes respond to a warming world," said study lead author James Kossin of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.
Global warming is caused by the burning of fossil fuels such as coal, oil and gas, which release greenhouse gases such as carbon dioxide into the Earth's atmosphere. This has caused the planet to warm to levels that cannot be explained by natural factors.

The study was led by scientists from NOAA and the University of Wisconsin and was published in the peer-reviewed journal Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.
https://www.pnas.org/content/early/2020/05/12/1920849117

Kerry Emanuel, a hurricane expert at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology who was not involved in the study, said the findings were “much in line with what’s expected,” according to the New York Times.

Scientists said that the chances of hurricanes becoming a Category 3 or higher have increased each of the past four decades. Much of the death and destruction from hurricanes comes from storms of Category 3 strength or higher, which are known as "major" hurricanes.

 

[kickarse]

It must be getting close to summer in the northern hemisphere
I can almost hear the climate alarmists chirping

It was hot in Western Australia in April lol,
I was living in WA during the 70s ice age scare, it was hot then as well, its always hot

 

[St. Phatty]

Need more Popcorn for the 2020 hurricane season.

 

[TychoMonolyth]

 

[Sunshineinabag]

while your on nstaycation ............enjoy!
https://youtu.be/HaGzC3tdrM0

 

[TychoMonolyth]

while your on nstaycation ............enjoy!
https://youtu.be/HaGzC3tdrM0

Isolation in the sin bin. lol

 

[1G12]

Global warming now pushing heat into territory humans cannot tolerate

Global warming now pushing heat into territory humans cannot tolerate

By: Tom Matthews, Lecturer in Climate Science, Loughborough University and Colin Raymond, Postdoctoral Researcher, California Institute of Technology

The explosive growth and success of human society over the past 10,000 years has been underpinned by a distinct range of climate conditions. But the range of weather humans can encounter on Earth – the “climate envelope” – is shifting as the planet warms, and conditions entirely new to civilisation could emerge in the coming decades. Even with modern technology, this should not be taken lightly.

Being able to regulate our temperature has played a key role in enabling humans to dominate the planet. Walking on two legs, without fur, and with a sweat-based cooling system, we’re well designed to beat the heat. But hot weather already limits our ability to work and stay healthy. In fact, our physiology places bounds on the level of heat and humidity we can cope with.

The normal temperature you see reported on weather forecasts is called the “drybulb” temperature. Once that rises above about 35°C, the body must rely on evaporating water (mainly through sweating) to dissipate heat. The “wetbulb” temperature is a measure that includes the chilling effect from evaporation on a thermometer, so it is normally much lower than the drybulb temperature. It indicates how efficiently our sweat-based cooling system can work.

Once the wetbulb temperature crosses about 35°C, the air is so hot and humid that not even sweating can lower your body temperature to a safe level. With continued exposure above this threshold, death by overheating can follow.

A 35°C limit may sound modest, but it isn’t. When the UK sweltered with a record drybulb temperature of 38.7°C in July 2019, the wetbulb temperature in Cambridge was no more than 24°C. Even in Karachi’s killer heatwave of 2015, the wetbulb temperature stayed below 30°C. In fact, outside a steam room, few people have encountered anything close to 35°C. It has mostly been beyond Earth’s climate envelope as human society has developed.

But our recent research shows that the 35°C limit is drawing closer, leaving an ever-shrinking safety margin for the hottest and most humid places on Earth.

Studies had already indicated that wetbulb temperatures could regularly cross 35°C if the world sails past the 2°C warming limit set out in the Paris climate agreement in 2015, with The Persian Gulf, South Asia and North China Plain on the frontline of deadly humid heat.

Our analysis of wetbulb temperatures from 1979-2017 did not disagree with these warnings about what may be to come. But whereas past studies had looked at relatively large regions (on the scale of major metropolitan areas), we also examined thousands of weather station records worldwide and saw that, at this more local scale, many sites were closing in much more rapidly on the 35°C limit. The frequency of punishing wetbulb temperatures (above 31°C, for example) has more than doubled worldwide since 1979, and in some of the hottest and most humid places on Earth, like the coastal United Arab Emirates, wetbulb temperatures have already flickered past 35°C. The climate envelope is pushing into territory where our physiology cannot follow.

 

[TychoMonolyth]

It Hit 80 Degrees in the Arctic This Week

https://earther.gizmodo.com/it-hit-...this-week-1843606717?utm_medium=sharefromsite

 

[trichrider]

oh really? where above the circle?
just looked at:



https://www.windy.com/-Temperature-temp?temp,74.260,-111.621,3,m:fPkackj


it seems to be 30*F just about all over....
doesn't appear to be over 80*F except in the temperate zones.

 

[TychoMonolyth]

Siberia. You should try to read the article even if its painful.

 

[St. Phatty]

can people in Florida escape most of the hurricane by driving to the middle of the peninsula ?

it's only about 600 feet high. No Snow Skiing in Florida ! Lots of water skiing.

Keep an eye on the water temperatures. if they're in the low 80's, they don't give so much energy to the storm.

i wonder what happened last time they had 90 degree surface water temperatures around the Keys or 300 miles east in the Atlantic.

 

[Hermanthegerman]

Of course it´s antarctica but if all ice wordwide was melted it would look like on this Picture.

 

[trichrider]

https://www.windy.com/-Show---add-more-layers/overlays?temp,71.753,98.086,6


you can zoom in to get local temps, none look near 80*F. theses are current values
not some bloggers opinion.


why would it be painful tych? this is my hobby...

 

[trichrider]

to be fair, i did find the 80*F siberian temp that gizmodo reported, but that was just a weather event like this:
https://komonews.com/weather/scotts...lstorm-allows-for-sledding-on-belfair-streets
Winter in May: Intense hailstorm allows for sledding on Belfair streets


by Scott Sistek | KOMONews.com Meteorologist
Friday, May 22nd 2020


we've had just a handful of sunny days so far this year none i recall above 70*F
averaging 55*F or so.



March and May being the coldest months with many records (temps and snow totals) being broken across the US.


North America has set 233 new all-time Monthly Low Temperature Records in May (so far) vs just the 18 Record Highs

https://electroverse.net/category/extreme-weather/

 

[TychoMonolyth]

Siberia in Midst of Freak Heat Wave

Source: The horses mouth.
https://www.themoscowtimes.com/2020/05/25/siberia-in-midst-of-freak-heat-wave-a70369

Western Siberia is experiencing abnormally high May temperatures, with some areas above the Arctic Circle breaking record-highs, The Siberian Times and The Washington Post reported last week.

Weather experts say temperatures in the region have been between 3 degrees Celsius and 6 degrees Celsius above average since January. The trend picks up from 2019, which forecasters declared the hottest year on record in Russia.

“That’s not only a new record anomaly for Russia. That’s the largest January to April anomaly ever seen in any country’s national average,” Robert Rohde of the nonprofit climate research group Berkeley Earth said in a tweet.

Russia’s third most populous city of Novosibirsk, another Siberian city, Krasnoyarsk, as well as the nearby regions of Omsk, Tomsk, Kemerovo and the Altai mountains saw record-breaking temperatures of between 30 degrees Celsius and 35 degrees Celsius in May, The Siberian Times reported last Tuesday.

At least one Siberian town above the Arctic Circle, Khatanga, broke its previous single-day record of 12 degrees Celsius for May 23 when the temperature hit 25.4 last Saturday.

“This heat wave occurs mostly at the area which has been anomalously warm during the whole 2020,” Finnish researcher Mika Rantanen told The Washington Post.

A temperature map Rantanen posted Thursday showed swaths of Western Siberia in the high 20s and low 30s.
https://twitter.com/mikarantane/status/1263507810773590017


“I’m Siberian-born and lived here for 60 years, I don’t remember a single spring like this,” The Siberian Times quoted journalist Sergei Zubchuk as saying.

“There was no spring, no weeks-long gentle rise of temperature. Somebody just clicked a ‘hot air’ switch on at the end of April, and summer began,” Zubchuk said.

The heat wave broke several natural cycles, The Siberian Times wrote, including river ice breaking, plants and trees blooming, and insects waking up earlier than usual.

The Siberian warmth is having an effect on Arctic ecosystems, The Washington Post reported, including on Siberian wildfires raging earlier than usual, declining snow cover and record-low sea ice.

Climate change is heating Russia at a rate more than twice the global average, thawing what was once permanently frozen ground in the Arctic tundra, Russia’s Environment Ministry warned last year.

Russia, the world’s fourth-largest greenhouse gas emitter with an economy heavily dependent on oil and gas, has been slow to take steps to reduce its carbon emissions.

 

[trichrider]

yeah, too bad CO2 has nothing to do with it...

 

[TychoMonolyth]

lol

Regardless. Don't you think we have something to worry about? I hear people say the same as you do. But I certainly don't see any of them offering up a valid reason let alone a solution.

And can you tell me when it's "just an event" and when it's something to be concerned about? Just asking.

 

[St. Phatty]

Siberia in Midst of Freak Heat Wave

Russia, the world’s fourth-largest greenhouse gas emitter with an economy heavily dependent on oil and gas, has been slow to take steps to reduce its carbon emissions.

biggest forest in the world.

they had a State of Fire in 2003, 47 Million acres of forest burned. 73,000 square miles, a square 270 miles x 270 miles.

Oregon is 98,000 square miles ... so the biggest fire in modern times, which happened to be in Siberia, burned an area 3/4 the size of Oregon.

It doesn't sound like that much, given the size of Siberia - 5 million square miles.

hope they have good forest management near the towns or they will be toasted !


I think they need more lakes & water-skiing. I think everybody in Siberia will be wishing they lived near the ocean or lake this summer.


https://www.climatehotmap.org/global-warming-locations/western-siberia.html

This is a really good article about Siberia. It is BIG - with a forest the size of Texas, among other things. Sounds like it's the size of Texas, Alaska, and California combined.

and there's GOLD in them there rivers ...

 

[Phaeton]

Our family album has a photo of me in 1961 during the middle of May with a snowman taller than I was.

For the last seven years straight the temperatures in May have broken 80 degrees F.
Since we had seven years in a row with snow in May while I was young I guess this is to balance out?

The only problem there is it is not random, up one year down the next. It is up one year and up the next and up the next and oops, it stayed the same, then up the next.

No arm twisting, believe what you want to believe. What will happen will happen. Then we will all have hindsight and know what should have been done.

 

[TychoMonolyth]

biggest forest in the world.

they had a State of Fire in 2003, 47 Million acres of forest burned. 73,000 square miles, a square 270 miles x 270 miles.

Oregon is 98,000 square miles ... so the biggest fire in modern times, which happened to be in Siberia, burned an area 3/4 the size of Oregon.

It doesn't sound like that much, given the size of Siberia - 5 million square miles.

hope they have good forest management near the towns or they will be toasted !
[/B]
...

They don't have any "management' of any type when it comes to the environment. Certainly not like Finland where they rake the forest floor. biggrin

I was at an MIT Alumni dinner and there was an environmental scientist speaking. He showed videos of his journey on the train going into Siberia. Derailment after derailment were just plowed over to the side and left to rust. Chemicals, or not, box car and tanker after box car and tanker. There was Zero cleanup. Disgusting.

Look at the Ural sea! Half the size of England and the fourth largest lake in the world. Now it's completely gone.

I doubt they have forest management in any real sense of the word. Walking the bush with your babushka is about as management as it gets.