has this ever happened in the united states? for anything? hand to god i am not being an asshole....i think i asked every single poster who stated this what precedence(precedents?)
The crashing value? I just dont see it happening. Prices might drop, but not by so much it wouldnt be worth producing. Otherwise nobody would even bother growing anymore. You also have to take into account that demand would rise because anyone who is of 21+ would be allowed to purchase marijuana, not just CA residents, but all the tourists and people who would come to CA because of legal marijuana. If growers couldnt form an LLC then they could partner up with other growers to come up with the necessary funds to start a business.
Secondly to suggest that it would be harder for minors to obtain marijuana in a illegal market opposed to a legal industry that requires I.D. to make a purchase is obsurd. Can minors get alcohol? Yes. But its because they either steal it from their parents or they beg someone to buy it for them. Alcohol and tobacco are both legal, do any of them think its harmless? At least marijuana is a far safer substance then either of those drugs should they choose to use it. In the netherlands where marijuana is tolerated, the use rate for children under 18 is around 12% compared to united states (where marijuana is illegal) whoich maintains a 45% use rate.
You have a point about tobacco, but that only because it takes a massive amount of money to produce and distribute ciggarettes. You can look to the alcohol industry that boasts thousands upon thousands of companies who produce and distribute beers, wines, and liquors. There are thousands of strains of marijuana, that can be produced a variety of different methods. Thus, making it far easier for botique and craft growers to produce their wares and make a excellent living doing so.
....any more brain busters?
Haha well said man. K+ Good points and I definitely agree with you in regards to big herb too...You act act as though you are shooting down every point I make with your high school brain buster comment at the end, yet your responses show otherwise.
I know your frustrated that 19 didn't pass, and clearly your frustration of its failure combined with your inability to see anyone else's view point on the subject make this whole dialogue pointless so I'll end it after a few points.
*Insert high school level condescending and seemingly witty comment here*
You act act as though you are shooting down every point I make with your high school brain buster comment at the end, yet your responses show otherwise.
I know your frustrated that 19 didn't pass, and clearly your frustration of its failure combined with your inability to see anyone else's view point on the subject make this whole dialogue pointless so I'll end it after a few points.
-Needless to say, by you admitting that you "don't see the price drop happening" you are essentially proving my point. Your assuming it won't happen. Yet if it did, many many people would be fucked. Then what? Say "oops" and beg for them to repeal it? No.
-Grouping together and forming LLC's won't work for a combination of reasons. For one every partner you ad, you lose more income. Add one partner you lose 50%.
-Never heard a response to the fact that almost no small to medium sized growers who have hidden grows would suddenly start sending the government checks. This is essentially the "under the table" agenda. If you go into a job and an employer says "hey I'll pay you under the table" your not going to say "no, I WANT to pay 30% tax." Having a hidden garden which nobody knows about will only make this even more easy. All the assumed tax revenue to California is estimated on the assumption that everyone growing will pay taxes, and that just isn't going to happen.
-regarding the craft beer companies. Do some research on how many have tried and failed vs. the number who are actually financially successful.
To me it really comes down to this. You are a medium sized grower and everything is going well now. You don't pay taxes, you do have competition but it is healthy and you get to pay your bills and get compensated.
Now you are told that it might be legal so that anyone with money and desire can grow and sell bud. In addition you have to start paying a large chunk of your profit to taxes. Large companies will form who can and will open large production factories. Market becomes flooded, price plumets. To assume that 'tourists' would make up for this fact is just absurd (most tourists would go up to Humboldt anyway, and all would be interested in the larger companies, not some guy advertising out of his home with his one cool strain). In this situation what would you choose?
My claim from the getgo has simply been that your assertion that Prop 9 was a "win win, nobody loses" is blatantly false. To prove it is false all I had to do is show a group of people who would ultimately suffer from it passing and I have done so.
*Insert high school level condescending and seemingly witty comment here*
-Grouping together and forming LLC's won't work for a combination of reasons. For one every partner you ad, you lose more income. Add one partner you lose 50%.
-
To me it really comes down to this. You are a medium sized grower and everything is going well now. You don't pay taxes, you do have competition but it is healthy and you get to pay your bills and get compensated.
My claim from the getgo has simply been that your assertion that Prop 9 was a "win win, nobody loses" is blatantly false. To prove it is false all I had to do is show a group of people who would ultimately suffer from it passing and I have done so.
*
You act act as though you are shooting down every point I make with your high school brain buster comment at the end, yet your responses show otherwise.
No. Nobody ever said that people should go to jail so that we can avoid taxes, in fact nobody said anything about anybody going to jail for mj at all. Again, another inaccurate assumption/inference...I, and many other people that were against 19, when I was still opposed to 19, chose this position because I didn't want to act too quickly and settle on a sub-par piece of legislation just because the immediate short term benefits were enticing. There needs to be some part of the populous, however small, looking out for the long term interests too! haha The movement has momentum on its side so its fair that some don't want to settle/voluntarily support Richard Lee's grandiose attempt at establishing quasi-oligarchy over the CA MJ market. All that being said I did end up voting yes on 19, but for other reasons.
People need to be realistic and its going to take steps to get to full legalization, and yeah so what if richard lee had a big stake in it? did you put up 2million dollars to get this on the ballot? i know i cant come up with that kind of money. and if we are ever going to get to legalization someone is going to have to put that money up and guess what, they are going to do so knowing that there is going to be returns in it for them. nobody is going to just come to the table and put that kind of money down without wanting to see returns on their investment.
so a few things that are inevitable that people will need to compromise with so that we can get marijuana legalized:
1) someone somewhere is going to make big profits off it. and really i couldnt give a shit just as long as i can do what i want without worrying about feds kicking in my door. just because coors or budweiser makes massive profits, doesnt mean that grolsch or newcastle or red stripe cant. if you can make a good product than people will choose you.
2) mj prisoners are not going to be released. as much as id like to see this happend, it will simply kill any legalization before it even gets to the ballot. once legalized it will be easier to petition for early release, but dont expect a prop/bill that is going to come in raining absoulte freedom. again mj is still a social stigma and will take time to completly ratify all the injustice it has caused.
3) it has to be 21+. as much as i disagree with 18-20 not being able to smoke, this is another item that will leave it dead in the water before it hits election. people still see mj as bad and evil and the whole "think of the children" will still be brought to surface. 18-20 can still find mj through a street dealer or though 215. is it really such a big deal that they cant wait 2-3 years to be able to smoke completely legal? we dont see people calling for alcohol to be repealed because the 18-20 crowd cant consume.
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and to all you small-to-medium growers. start saving that money. quit buying big screens and pit bulls and save all your profits so that when the next one does roll around, you will be able to lease warehouse space or buy land to cultivate. if you want to make this a legitimate business and base your whole income off it, start thinking like businessman. work on a logo. work on your growing. perfect your methods, so when the time comes you can jump right into it and i gaurantee you your profits are going to jump. the supply will rise, but so will the demand. coped with the liscense fees, taxes, and all the overhead, id imagine prices staying at current level, maybe a bit cheaper. but top shelf is never going to fall under 200/oz. and if it does get as cheap as some people have made claims of (35-60/oz) then guess what. people will quit growing or start moving it out of state. big business growers will throw in the hat. supply will go down and demand will stay at same level causing prices to go back up. its all about supply and demand and people arent going to stick around if there is no profit in it.
id also suggest that some of you start looking into other marijuana ventures outside of growing and selling. there is alot to this plant, you just need to think outside of the box a little.
legalization is a good thing. and this is coming from someone who probably has grown more in the last 5 years then most people will in their lifetime.... just saying.
And the fact that Bud/Anheuser make massive profits DOES mean that small brewers can't make massive profits...
It used to be ILLEGAL in Texas and else where for consenting adults to commit sodomy (fun anal and oral sex type of stuff).
In Lawrence v. Texas the US Supreme Court struck down Texas's criminal sodomy laws (effecting other states as well).
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lawrence_v._Texas
Since these NOW NULLIFIED UNCONSTITUTIONAL LAWS were struck down TX and other states had NO legal right to retain prisoners for these offenses.
If the states didn't free these UNCONSTITUTIONALLY incarcerated individuals (but I bet they did) then it is time to end this version of the experiment in government.
stone brewing / karl strauss. if your from SD then you know full well that these are two breweries that started from very small things.
i dont understand why you say there is no profit in it. if you look around town there are lots of breweries that have been opening and doing pretty damn well for themselfs.
big business is just that. its all about big profits and highest profit-to-cost returns. why would they grow long flowering low yielding strains to make a few more dollars per purchase as compared to high yielding strain with a shorter flowering time that would produce 2x-3x the product in a shorter time?
the market in CA is huuge. and coming from first hand experience, yeah there are peopel who just want some cheap shit to get them stoned. but ALOT of people come looking for the best they can find. there is a market for every demographic.
. Furthermore, I will again say that you should be able to grow however much you want and any restriction on the space ON YOUR OWN LAND in which you can grow is something I am not in support of.
so we just have to get the us supreme court to strike down the states stance on cannabis? im not being a smart ass..but that seems like a tougher first step then say...i dunno....prop 19....ok...maybe im being a lil smartass...but cmon...
We don't have to wait for shit and I smoke daily.
Prop 19 sucks donkey dick when compared to the Alaska supreme court decision that FOUND a sate constitutional right to privacy, and that penumbra of privacy extended to growing and consuming cannabis on your own property.