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Short term trades in the stock market •$$$$$•

TNTBudSticker

Well-known member
Veteran
Tesla took off $5.00 off today to $341 So if the See-saw is correct continue to be at a safe point to buy again.

Another Stock to look at is YELP on the Yearly graph and if you have patience for swings but safe swings $2.50 each way when the low and bottoms are spread out $15.00 from highs and lows.The stock is Cheaper than Tesla from a trading point.

General Mills (GIS)and Coke-Cola (KO) are defensive stocks during a market downtown and it seems KO is taking it all in the chin.

Maybe the Dog of the Year or maybe Next year would be GE - General Electric.Off the Dow and Replaced with a new Company.Makes alot of money but Accounting is a mess.Dividends are cut.Maybe they raise dividends and then time to buy? Good Move.Might the stock price be too high then and may miss out some good gains.

Watching the Weed Sector,CVSI went Up again.Big jump for weed stocks in the afternoon.This went from $3.00 to $7.00 back in August.Made 25 Million cash last report.

NIsource is Still going up and pays .78 cents yearly when PEG pays $1.80 yearly.It's twice as much and pays the same yield.3.10%..would still look for news on the NI Case.Will it drop big or small or did it happen already and a lawsuit is out because it dropped 12% and $2.00 making investors mad in September.
 

TNTBudSticker

Well-known member
Veteran
One of the Hot 5 star stocks I was looking at is ICE (Intercontinental Exchange, Inc) and you can see the see-saw movements.Buying and Shorting the See-Saws.Seems one can Short this one at its highest.
$73 to $78....$78.10 Now.
One of the pitfalls is Earnings and one sometimes must not short into earnings.Or Buy to be Safe.

1 day +1.70%
30 days +2.89%
1 Year +19.54%
So ICE is doing pretty good



Sometimes you can use this Strategy for Contests if they let you do both sides.
 

TNTBudSticker

Well-known member
Veteran
I Shorted NI because They blew Out the entire neighborhood with some sort of Gas leak and flatten over 80 homes and buildings.Holy Shitski!
Sort of what happened to PCG in 2017 in feb $69 to $38 Drop only they blew out alot fewer homes.Alot less!
NI seems never dropping even from what ever the heck it's not....an 800 point Dow drop and NI goes up?
Pile up those shorts like Bill Ackman and Herbalife.And Goes the Right Way.

PCG back in the News Again!

https://www.foxbusiness.com/feature...a-residents-who-lost-homes-in-deadly-wildfire

"PG&E's liabilities for California wildfire lawsuits may exceed insurance coverage"

The Stock is tanking from High $40's to under $19.00 .

Waiting for Earnings Report on NI but it could be either a long wait since 2010 when PCG started its Bear Decline. :tumbleweed:

2018 Now and Another Sharp Decline. :skiiing:

Some Tesla News,pretty interesting.

A big pile of debt comes due at Tesla on March 1 – $920 million worth. But starting in two weeks,the company has a chance to make it disappear.
The debt is in the form of convertible bonds,a special kind of instrument that can be converted into shares of Tesla stock under certain conditions.If conditions are met,and all bondholders convert,Tesla would suddenly gain $920 million worth of much-needed financial flexibility.

To spark a conversion,Tesla needs to boost its stock price to $359.87 or higher at some point in the three-month period between Dec. 1 and Feb. 28.The higher the price goes,the more likely holders will convert.

A successful conversion would go a long way toward helping Tesla meet Chief Executive Elon Musk’s bold financial goals.He’s told stock analysts to expect positive net income and positive free cash flow in the upcoming quarter ending in December, with “aspirations” for profits in “all quarters going forward.”
If the overall stock market’s recent swoon continues,the $359.87 strike price might be hard to reach.Tesla shares now trade at around $345.

Still, Tesla’s volatile stock has bucked general market trends before,and could do so again.
 

St. Phatty

Active member
Think the Dow will Decline into the Close, 'Black' Friday ?

Think the Dow will Decline into the Close, 'Black' Friday ?

I'm looking at the Dow & noticing the drop off in oil & other commodities.

Other days with a similar setup down 2/3 Dow point with 2 1/2 hours to close, often un-bubbled into the close.

i.e. valuations got a little more real, a little less bubbly, but still firmly in the land of the frothy (PE valuations @ 5 times what mature profitable companies normally earn).

On the surface that looks like a 4 to 5% decline in the Dow.
 

TNTBudSticker

Well-known member
Veteran
PCG back in the News Again!
To spark a conversion,Tesla needs to boost its stock price to $359.87 or higher at some point in the three-month period between Dec. 1 and Feb. 28.The higher the price goes,the more likely holders will convert.


Now today's close is at $358.49..with today's high at $366.

Be Interesting where This goes.With GM(General Motors) closing plants and the Electric Market losing Subsidies due to Trump's of GM closing plants.
On the other hand they want to extend the subsidies for Electric Cars.I was thinking,Why is GM bringing down Tesla for Tesla being the only Electric start up company and bringing success to it?

Time will Tell.
 

TNTBudSticker

Well-known member
Veteran
So I switch sides because the Nat Gas Sector might be a little Bullish during Winter and NI.Source and PCG was picked Bullish while F and GM losing market shares going bearish.NI doesn't seems it wants to quit and offering even more technical advances that the drop might already have happened.I picked DB bank because someone's agree with me about GM and GE going down so I picked his bank's DB pick :)

GE went from $10.50 to $8.00 then got back in again when they said it probably won't recover.

 

TNTBudSticker

Well-known member
Veteran
RIOT is going to have a Big Drop soon.Great Short.
Guess We Caught on the Bear part of Bitcoins.
Right now it's at a $3,300 Drop at $12,000 ( Just had a bounce to $13,000 Now annnnnnd back down)
I Gotta Guess the Open For RIOT ?..It's At $27.60
Lemme see....$23.00 ? ..That's like a $4.00 Drop.
Bitcoins Is Really heading for the Exit!


One Year later if you're watching Bitcoin on the short side,you made a bundle.
RIOT now is at $1.50 from $24.00 to $12.00 then to $1.50

I personally never figured it out the whole time.
Too Complex.Too Nerdy
I like Numbers but not those kinds of numbers :dance013:
 

St. Phatty

Active member
I like it when the market gets more honest. i.e. when it has PE valuations that are close to the historical mean. Which for many tech stocks means they are 500% over-valued.

But in the US people seem to panic when the market falls 10%. Even though a 500% over-valuation means that stocks will revert to mean after an 83% price fall.

Today Monday Xmas Eve US markets are getting slightly more honest. It's a start.

Now is the appropriate time to sell, to take profits & with a minority of stocks, to cut losses.

I think a lot of young people don't understand the market until they have been through some serious corrections. Since that tends to cost them a lot, young investors would benefit a lot from looking at historical market indices.

So they can make a killing, not by selling at the top. But by staying calm when markets puke, and making a killing by buying at the bottom. But that only works reliably after a lot of research.


As far as "short term trades", I think one of the more reliable & interesting areas is Acquisition Candidates. I doubled my money on Summit Technologies in the late 90's, in a matter of a few months, simply by buying them before an acquisition was announced that doubled their stock price.
 

St. Phatty

Active member
Today's a buying day for sure. "Be fearful when others are greedy and be greedy when others are fearful"

If I had money I wanted to put in the stock market, there would be 2 places -

* mining stocks
* stocks I'm familiar with from using their product, e.g. Micron
* stocks that pay a decent dividend, e.g. Century link.

The mining stocks I would have already bought.

The stocks that have meat on the bones - tech companies making something in demand, utility companies with history of good dividends (though not California power companies, they're in a different category) - if I was going to buy them, I wouldn't do it now.

I would keep that money in cash and, as they say, "Wait for it"

The it buying moment in stocks is not here.


I think it helps to watch a few market tantrums. e.g. 2007/8/9.

The market was not doing great on March 18, 2009, but it did well for the next 9 years. That was the day the Fed announced QE1.

Boy if I had inside information about that :woohoo:

Anyway, that early part of 2009 was a great time to buy.

Same for when they re-opened the markets after 9-11.

I remember AMD was so on-sale. This was right before they introduced the Athlon/Opteron generation that moved them ahead of Intel until 2006.

AMD with a market cap of $3 Billion. :woohoo: Very good deal.


I don't like the part about paying capital gains taxes and ALL THAT PAPERWORK.

Overall, getting good stocks for a great price is a matter of timing & research.

So you can be in the casino when Danny Ocean hacks all the machines in Ocean's 13 and they have a positive pay-out for 3 minutes. :dance013:


EDIT

"The Treasury said Mnuchin will convene a call on Monday with the president’s Working Group on Financial Markets, which includes Washington’s main stewards of the U.S. financial system and is sometimes referred to as the “Plunge Protection Team.”

https://twitter.com/stevenmnuchin1/...alm-merry-christmas-or-complete-market-chaos/

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-...-convene-plunge-protection-team-idUSKCN1OM0LJ
 

TNTBudSticker

Well-known member
Veteran
PG&E is talking about filing for Bankruptcy.And selling a Gas unit.

The stock dropped from $24 to $19.00 again.

Makes me go ahead and go Bearish on NI Source again.

My internet is limited in our area and can't reach the portfolio.After those two picks going Bullish forward and got like 4 points I got back out right before the market dropped.I'm still ahead with gold and short Oil...

Those 2 drama queen stocks PCG and NI is what I'm calling them.Drama Queens! I'm shorting you again..lol ..another way is the short and hold and wait...just wait...becomes a waiting game.Girls are better at this stuff..lol ...instead of Earnings,I'll wait for a cut in dividends :)
 

TNTBudSticker

Well-known member
Veteran
W00t !!! :woohoo: :peacock:

PCG has taken the Hit! 48% Drop ...So Bearish ! CEO exits company.

15 days into 2019 ,,,,,,, 48% Gain

No work for the rest of the year ..!! Ok,I'm kidding...Good pick

Went Bearish,,Went Bullish for 13 days,then back to Bearish !!

Then folks seeing inside my brain and having tick back over to bearish and STAY there...lol

NI,source seems to be in the same exactly same predicament.But I'm not really sure what is up because it seems to be more organized and don't have alot of lawsuits and holding up nicely.I could be wrong because I usually don't do picks this far out,Especially 2 or 3 years in the making on the Bearish side.Maybe the Bullish side but never Bearish.




Well,this was worth waiting and waiting and waiting for.My dumbass went Bullish for almost 2 weeks!! .....See NI ? Climbing and Climbing,gave me points then I got out and stick with the pre-faced choice :)

 

TNTBudSticker

Well-known member
Veteran
PCG takes another hit...26% It is now $6.20.

We got yesterday's 48% plus today's drop at 26%

74% Total ......So Far. :woohoo:

I normally hit 100% within 3 months and it's been 15 days into the new year.

Law of Averages comes into play,But this year,Early Bird Gets the Worm :dance013:

Unlike the government shutdown,things get done around here

:laughing:
 

TNTBudSticker

Well-known member
Veteran
Some Good News from Netflix ...Prices went up for the basic at $1.00

Netflix's cheapest Basic plan will cost $9, up from $8 its most popular HD Standard plan will cost $13, up from $11 and its 4K Premium plan will cost $16, up from $14.

Netflix was the best performing of the so-called FAANG stocks last year,gaining nearly 40 percent in 2018 and outpacing Facebook, Amazon,Apple and Google-parent Alphabet.Netflix has already gained 30 percent in the first few weeks of 2019.

I've seen picks where it was just Amazon,AMD and Netflix for just those 3 rather the 5 stocks.

Amazon has a divorce happening and CEO Jeff Bezos acting like he is in love rather than shocked,surprised.She's on TV here locally every night so of course,he's in love. (no pun intend)

AMD has great chips and moving Forward and has me watching the Crypto space as we know it's not doing to well and how much AMD has been exposed to them along with Nvidia.

Netflix doing well and humming along.Had a slight,slight price increase and the stock is holding up well.Been watching at least 5 movies a week.All good movies.Google ChromeCast works great streaming with Netflix app on the Android.
Wish they brought back the 5 star system rather thumbs up or down.
Been doing alot of thumbs up and my thumb is sore :tiphat:
 

TNTBudSticker

Well-known member
Veteran
Heyyyyy folks! :) :yappy:

Well...Up to now the percentages are in the Year-To-Date

AMD 64%

NETFLIX 43%

Amazon 26%

Heard investors jumped in AMD for the earnings.And AMD getting good reviews about being a performance Stock.Yup,It shows :woohoo:

When Stoned...4 months can be a short term trade :laughing:
 

TNTBudSticker

Well-known member
Veteran
In 2009 GE was down to $6 a share, which seemed like a great deal.

Now it's $9 a share & I'm not sure.

If you pull out the 5 year graph...seems a dead cat bounce..a big one too.GE, I'm not sure either but it's should be going down...hard to get any good news from them these days.

You know the drama queen stocks PCG ? NI,Source ?

I think it would have been better being in PCG when it hit the 6's and now it's $23 rather than GE.

California has a New Governor,hence the swing in the price.

Today was a almost $4.00 climb! NI,Source is doing good themselves,even if it drops..pile back on some more! Let History Repeat itself !

 

TNTBudSticker

Well-known member
Veteran
SEB is doing great almost since Year to Date.Been on a Bullish run.

$3500 to $4600 In 4 months.
Good thing I've talked about it since 2011.

Bitcoin don't know anything about it still,But the $900 to $20,000 run.

RIOT is going back up.
If Bitty Goes Up,RIOT goes up.
RIOT was around $1.54 before the climb and watching bitcoin and now at $5.17
 

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