The black market is so established, it's hard to believe that consumers will abandon their connections in favor of pricey and maybe as good legal weed.
Better to look at New Jersey than those two states, they are next to Canada too and the whole country almost is legal but that's meaningless, those states are fucking utopias compared to NY.
Homegrown is not on the table in their recreational plans and it won't be in NY either, cops are too strong there and it would eat into tax revenue.
I would love to be wrong on this but this is a political smokescreen.