Survey USA Poll Gives California Marijuana Initiative Ten Point Lead

[JackTheGrower]

Survey USA Poll Gives California Marijuana Initiative Ten Point Lead

Support for Proposition 19, California's Tax and Regulate Cannabis marijuana legalization initiative is at 50% in the latest Survey USA poll, which was released today. The figure is unchanged from last month's Survey USA poll.

Some 40% of respondents opposed the initiative, which would allow Californians 21 or over to possess up to an ounce of weed and to grow up to 25 square feet worth. The initiative would also give counties and municipalities the local option of permitting, taxing, and regulating marijuana sales and cultivation.

Survey USA contacted 1,000 adult Californians, found 837 of them registered to vote, and polled 602 of them it considered most likely to vote. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.1%

This poll is in line with other recent polls, including one we reported on earlier this week that had support for a general marijuana legalization question at 51%. Like other recent telephone polls, today's Survey USA poll shows higher levels of support for legalization than the face-to-face polls, suggesting that some potential voters are reluctant to say they support a controversial idea like legalization, but may do so in the privacy of the voting booth.

Support for Prop 19 was stronger among men (55%) than women (45%), stronger among people under 50 (55%) than over (45%), and stronger among Democrats (60%) and independents (53%) than Republicans (36%). Prop 19 garnered majority support from blacks (54%) and whites (51%), but not Hispanics (45%) or Asians (44%).

Not particularly surprisingly, support for legalization correlates with support for liberal positions on other social issues. More than three-quarters (76%) of people who described themselves as liberals supported Prop 19, while only 27% of conservatives did. Nearly two-thirds of people who oppose the Tea Party (64%) and support abortion rights (65%) said they would vote for Prop 19. But the measure also won majority support from both gun owners (54%) and non-gun owners (51%).

Geographically, the poll showed the strongest support for Prop 19 in the Greater Los Angeles area (56%) and the San Francisco Bay area (53%). Support dropped under 50% in the Central Valley (45%) and in inland Southern California (38%).

Most of the polls so far have shown Prop 19 leading, but having a tough time getting over the 50% mark. Still, that suggests that Prop 19 can get to that magical 50% plus one by winning over even a very small percentage of undecided voters -- so long as it can keep the voters that it has and get them to the polls.

Well that sounds like what I have read only better. I mean better in the accuracy associated with it in groupings.

 

[vta]

"Like other recent telephone polls, today's Survey USA poll shows higher levels of support for legalization than the face-to-face polls, suggesting that some potential voters are reluctant to say they support a controversial idea like legalization, but may do so in the privacy of the voting booth."

I think the Media, as well as most people are ignoring the "closet voters". Cannabis users make up the most diverse group of illicit drug users. They are also a very good chuck of the population. I think 19 may win by a wider margin.

 

[JackTheGrower]

It might. By what I see in all the polls taken and what I know to be true about the Republican party there is a chance it will pass with 50% + 1 vote.

The Republicans are close to a Civil War over the Far Right Republicans.

The Tea party is not helping the Republican cause!

 

[kannubis]

The funniest part of the prop 19 debaucle is that its still almost 3 months away, and everybody is going nuts over their stance. Personally, I will vote for it just because of the extra headache that will come with it for the new administration if it passes. Look at the reversal of the popular vote on prop 8 by an "appointed" official. Can we expect similar if 19 passes?

Polls are fickle, and one good media blast can change the mind of many people.

I will wait until the election day smoke has cleared to see the outcome. Its easier not to get one's hopes squashed by the numbers.

 

[SOTF420]

Alot of people I know and have spoke to are all voting yes, it's the American thing to do.

 

[JackTheGrower]

Ah yes Kannubis.. But this is History and we might as well party like it's 1999...


Or some such bullshit.

 

[JackTheGrower]

Alot of people I know and have spoke to are all voting yes, it's the American thing to do.

That's the trick.. The Conservatives are wanting to put a Republican in as our representative. Boxer may lose this time.

We can expect a lot of crappy deals if that is the case.

So yes get folks to the polls.. Make sure they understand they can't leave it up to someone else in an off-year election cycle.

Republicans win more in an off-year than Democrats and No on Prop 19 is a Conservative thing.

 

[bluekush]

these polls really don't matter there is still tons of time to go one way or the other.

 

[stickey fingers]

TIME TO RALLY THE TROOPS, kannubis HOPE YOURE ASS GETS THROWEN IN JAIL, UNTIL NOV, SO YOU CAN THINK ABOUT YOURE DICSION BETTER.BETTER YET MOVE OUT OF THE STATE !

RIP DR JAY
FREE JOE SHMOE

 

[JackTheGrower]

TIME TO RALLY THE TROOPS, kannubis HOPE YOURE ASS GETS THROWEN IN JAIL, UNTIL NOV, SO YOU CAN THINK ABOUT YOURE DICSION BETTER.BETTER YET MOVE OUT OF THE STATE !

RIP DR JAY
FREE JOE SHMOE

He's voting yes.. I thinks... ????