"The difficulty lies not so much in developing new ideas as in escaping from old ones."
John Maynard Keynes
Love it. It is rather unfortunate however.
"The difficulty lies not so much in developing new ideas as in escaping from old ones."
John Maynard Keynes
There are certain aspects of Austrian theory that are almost undeniably correct and have been great contributions to the field of economics, particularly regarding unemployment:
1: (Involuntary) unemployment is caused by excessive real wages.
2: Using inflation to reduce real wages (i.e., if the wage is fixed in nominal terms, then ceteris paribus inflation reduces the real wage) is at best unreliable, and in any case not a long-term solution to the problem of unemployment.
The biggest problem I see in the austrian business cycle is that entrepreneurs must be irrational actors for it to be true. The problem is supposed to be that businessmen just look at current interest rates, figure out the PDV of possible investments, and due to artificially low interest rates (which obviously can't last forever) they wind up making bad investments. But why couldn't they just use the credit market's long-term interest rates for forecasting profitability instead of looking at current short-term rates??
The Austrian theory does not predict an increase in employment during a boom, or a decrease in employment during a bust. It also predicts an increase in output during a bust.
Arguing "soft sciences" is always fun, eh gentleman!?
i think what he is saying is that, human action isnt predictable unless you want a tolitarian/tolitarian-light state,and applying the scientific method to a human population is immoral,that is to say we are the lab mice for the PhD's experimentation.
being free from these constraints is liberty.it begins with owning yourself and being free of force and fraud.then the market begins to allocate resoures witch are finite,into productive ereas,the private sector.
its the opposite of the state owning the means of production,wich is the product of your lifes work. it isnt government working in tandem with corperations either its mutual contracts enforcible by the judial branch.
im not gonna rant,but i recently seen a debate over this issue and its between a anarcho-capitalist and a mainstream guy,i think some insight may be gleamed,because we are not the boogey men everyone else wants to make us out to be.
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Arguing "soft sciences" is always fun, eh gentleman!?